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MODEL OF THE OPTIMUM EXCHANGE RATE

https://doi.org/10.21686/2413-2829-2015-1-117-134

Abstract

During 25 years of designing and developing market economy in Russia well-balanced tools of shaping currency rate, which is adequate to the economic situation in the country has not been formed. The ruble rate to world reserve currencies controlled by Russian management always had certain signs of voluntarism, it was fixed without due regard to ruble inflation rate. It finally led to severe finance and currency crises of 1998, 2008, 2014. The article proposes economically substantiated model of optimum currency rate. It provides calculations showing efficiency of the tools and supporting the final conclusion: long-term shaping of currency rate asynchronous to the inflation rate is a forerunner of the next finance crisis.

About the Authors

Vladimir P. Semenov
Plekhanov Russian University of Economics
Russian Federation

Doctor of Economics, Professor of the Department for Higher Mathematics of the PRUE

36 Stremyanny Lane, Moscow, 117997, Russian Federation



Yuriy P. Soloviev
Plekhanov Russian University of Economics
Russian Federation

Doctor of Economics, Professor of the Department for Mathematic Methods in Economy of the PRUE

36 Stremyanny Lane, Moscow, 117997, Russian Federation



Evgeniya V. Gorshkova
Plekhanov Russian University of Economics
Russian Federation

PhD, Senior Lecturer of the Department for Insurance and Risk Management of the PRUE

36 Stremyanny Lane, Moscow, 117997, Russian Federation



References

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6. Semenov V. P., Ryabikin V. I., Gorshkova E. V. Metod rascheta proportsiy investitsionnogo portfelya v inostrannykh valyutakh [The Method of Calculating the Proportions of the Investment Portfolio in Foreign Currency], Vestnik of the Plekhanov Russian University of Economics, 2014, No. 2 (68), pp. 55–72. (In Russ.).


Review

For citations:


Semenov V.P., Soloviev Yu.P., Gorshkova E.V. MODEL OF THE OPTIMUM EXCHANGE RATE. Vestnik of the Plekhanov Russian University of Economics. 2015;(1):117-134. (In Russ.) https://doi.org/10.21686/2413-2829-2015-1-117-134

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ISSN 2413-2829 (Print)
ISSN 2587-9251 (Online)