Preview

Vestnik of the Plekhanov Russian University of Economics

Advanced search

Analyzing the Impact of Macro-Economic Factors and Taxation Manoeuvre on Federal Budget Revenues in the Russian Federation

https://doi.org/10.21686/2413-2829-2018-6-47-56

Abstract

The article studies the impact of macro-economic factors, such as the US dollar rate, inflation rate, changes in the physical volume of export, drop in world prices on oil and alteration of taxation and customs legislation of the Russian Federation on revenues of the federal budget. The authors use the integral factor analysis of the absolute growth in federal budget revenues in Russia in assumption of simultaneous changes in factors on the indicator function. Conventional methods of determinate factor analysis, including the method of chain substitution imply successive change in factors. The authors conducted qualitative estimation of the absolute growth (decline) in federal budget revenues in the Russian Federation under the influence of selected macro-economic factors and changes in taxation and customs legislation, while in conventional research only changes in factors themselves are estimated. They came to the conclusion about the insufficient compensation for the decline in customs duties on oil and oil products by the increase in tax on minerals extraction. The growth in budget revenues was shown at the expense of administrative control strengthening but not at the expense of economic growth. Recommendations were put forward aimed at the increase in investment activity through changing the procedure of depreciation charges and using resources of the foundation of national welfare.

About the Authors

E. S. Inozemtcev
Saratov Social and Economic Institute (branch) of the Plekhanov Russian University of Economics
Russian Federation

Evgeny S. Inozemtcev - PhD, Assistant Professor of the Department for Statistics of the Saratov Social and Economic Institute (branch) of the PRUE.

89 Radishcheva Str., Saratov, 410003



O. V. Kochetygova
Saratov Social and Economic Institute (branch) of the Plekhanov Russian University of Economics
Russian Federation

Olga V. Kochetygova - PhD, Assistant Professor of the Department for Statistics of the Saratov Social and Economic Institute (branch) of the PRUE.

89 Radishcheva Str., Saratov, 410003



M. A. Katkova
Yuri Gagarin State Technical University of Saratov
Russian Federation

Marina A. Katkova - PhD, Vice Rector for educational work, Assistant Professor of the Department for Economics of Labor and Production Complexes of the Yuri Gagarin State Technical University of Saratov.

77 Politekhnicheskaya Str.,Saratov, 410016



References

1. Byudzhet Rossii: razvitie i obespechenie ekonomicheskoy bezopasnosti, monografiya [Russian Budget: Development and Economic Security, monograph]. Moscow, Infra-M, 2015. (In Russ.).

2. Kalashnikov P. K., Orlov A. I., Samarin I. V., Fomin A. N. Fenomenologicheskaya matematicheskaya model' vzaimosvyazi neftyanykh tsen s velichinami denezhnykh agregatov, federal'nogo i konsolidirovannogo byudzhetov kak element sistemy strategicheskogo planirovaniya dlya vybora ratsional'nykh sposobov upravleniya sotsial'no-ekonomicheskoy sistemoy strany [Phenomenological Mathematical Model of the Relationship of Oil Prices with the Values of Monetary Aggregates, the Federal and Consolidated Budgets as an Element of the Strategic Planning System for Choosing Rational Ways to Manage the Country's SocioEconomic System]. Estestvennye i tekhnicheskie nauki [Natural and Technical Sciences], 2015, No. 3 (81), pp. 167-179. (In Russ.).

3. Knobel' A. Riski byudzhetnoy politiki v stranakh, bogatykh prirodnymi resursami [Budget Policy Risks in Resource-Rich Countries]. Ekonomicheskaya politika [Economic Policy], 2013, No. 5, pp. 29-38. (In Russ.).

4. Kudrin A. L., Knobel' A. Yu. Byudzhetnaya politika kak istochnik ekonomicheskogo rosta [Budget Policy as a Source of Economic Growth]. Voprosy ekonomiki, 2017, No. 10, pp. 526. (In Russ.).

5. Kuranov G. O., Luk'yanenko R. F. Issledovanie ekonomicheskoy dinamiki i obosnovanie faktorov rosta [The Study of Economic Dynamics and the Rationale for Growth Factors]. Voprosy statistiki, 2017, No. 11, pp. 3-20. (In Russ.).

6. Lykova L. N. Pervye rezul'taty «nalogovogo manevra» i dokhody byudzhetov sub"ektov Rossiyskoy Federatsii [The First Results of the "Tax Maneuver" and Budget Revenues of the Constituent Entities of the Russian Federation]. Federalizm, 2015, No. 4 (80), pp. 55-64. (In Russ.).

7. Mikhaylov A. Yu. Neftegazovye dokhody rossiyskogo byudzheta v 2015 godu: prognoz i riski [Oil and Gas Revenues of the Russian Budget in 2015: Forecast and Risks]. Nauchno-issledovatel'skiy finansoviy institut. Finansoviy zhurnal [Financial Research Institute. Financial Journal], 2015, No. 2 (24), pp. 52-59. (In Russ.).

8. Ponkratov V. V. Antikrizisniy plan i byudzhetniy manevr 2015 [Anti-Crisis Plan and Budget Maneuver 2015]. Vestnik Finansovogo universiteta [Financial University Bulletin], 2015, No. 2 (86), pp. 70-75. (In Russ.).

9. Ponkratov V. V. Formirovanie i ispol'zovanie neftegazovykh dokhodov federal'nogo byudzheta v usloviyakh nizkikh tsen na energoresursy i otsutstviya byudzhetnogo pravila [Formation and Use of Oil and Gas Revenues of the Federal Budget in the Context of Low Energy Prices and the Lack of a Fiscal Rule]. Ekonomika. Nalogi. Pravo [Economy. Taxes. Right], 2016, Vol. 2, No. 2, pp. 104-111. (In Russ.).

10. Salomatina T. V. Integral'nye metody faktornogo analiza: perspektivy ispol'zovaniya v ekonomike [Integral Methods of Factor Analysis: Prospects for Use in Economics]. Saratov, 2011. (In Russ.).

11. Senchagov V. K., Gubin B. V., Pavlov V. I., Karavaeva I. V., Ivanov E. A. Byudzhet Rossii 2015-2017 gg. - byudzhet tormozheniya strukturnoy perestroyki ekonomiki [The Budget of Russia 2015-2017 - The Budget Inhibition of Economic Restructuring]. Vestnik Instituta ekonomiki Rossiyskoy akademii nauk [The Bulletin of the Institute of Economics of the Russian Academy of Sciences], 2015, No. 1, pp. 30-80. (In Russ.).

12. Senchagov V. K. Modernizatsiya finansovoy sfery [Modernization of the Financial Sector]. Voprosy ekonomiki, 2011, No. 3, pp. 53-64. (In Russ.).

13. Sukharev A. N. O neobkhodimosti obespecheniya ustoychivosti federal'nogo byudzheta Rossiyskoy Federatsii [On the Need to Ensure the Sustainability of the Federal Budget of the Russian Federation]. Finansy i kredit [Finance and Credit], 2014, No. 4, pp. 2-8. (In Russ.).


Review

For citations:


Inozemtcev E.S., Kochetygova O.V., Katkova M.A. Analyzing the Impact of Macro-Economic Factors and Taxation Manoeuvre on Federal Budget Revenues in the Russian Federation. Vestnik of the Plekhanov Russian University of Economics. 2018;(6):47-56. (In Russ.) https://doi.org/10.21686/2413-2829-2018-6-47-56

Views: 610


Creative Commons License
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.


ISSN 2413-2829 (Print)
ISSN 2587-9251 (Online)