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STATISTICAL ESTIMATION OF UNOBSERVED ECONOMIC ACTIVITY

https://doi.org/10.21686/2413-2829-2016-1-59-69

Abstract

The article researches methods of measuring unobserved economy. The methods being analyzed are based on statistics of households, the method of factual employment, expert method, etc. Each of them has its own advantages and disadvantages and unfortunately cannot provide full characteristics of unobserved economy indicators. The author comes to the conclusion about the necessity to develop a common methodology for assessing shadow economy in order to come closer to the exact estimation of GDP and other macro-economic figures, to find the concealed share of the real sector of economy and to identify the scale of country 'shadowing'. True information about the shadow share of economy can help to take measures to normalize Russian economy.

About the Author

Galina V. Agentova
Plekhanov Russian University of Economics
Russian Federation

PhD, Assistant Professor of the Department for Statistics of the PRUE

36 Stremyanny Lane, Moscow, 117997, Russian Federation



References

1. Bokun N. Ch. Tenevaya ekonomika: ponyatiya, klassifikatsiya, metody otsenki [Shadow Economy: Notions, Classification, Methods of Assessment]. Minsk, Research Institute of Statistics of the Ministry of Statistics and Analysis of the Republic of Byeloruss, 2012. (In Russ.).

2. Izmerenie nenablyudaemoy ekonomiki [Measuring Unobserved Economy], Manual of Rosstat. Moscow, 2011. (In Russ.).

3. Kireev N. V. Sravnitel'nyy analiz ponyatiy nenablyudaemoy ekonomiki i neformal'noy ekonomiki v sovremennykh statisticheskikh metodikakh [Comparative Analysis of the Notions of Unobserved Economy and Informal Economy in Current Statistical Methodologies]. Legal Science and Practice: Vestnik of Nizhegorodskaya Academy of the Ministry of Home Affairs RF, 2014, No. 1, pp. 97–101. (In Russ.).

4. Yarnykh E. A. Informatsionnaya infrastruktura i statisticheskiy analiz rynka tovarov i uslug [Information Infrastructure and Statistical Analysis of the Market of Goods and Services]. Moscow, Finance and Statistics, 2006. (In Russ.).


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For citations:


Agentova G.V. STATISTICAL ESTIMATION OF UNOBSERVED ECONOMIC ACTIVITY. Vestnik of the Plekhanov Russian University of Economics. 2016;(1):59-69. (In Russ.) https://doi.org/10.21686/2413-2829-2016-1-59-69

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ISSN 2413-2829 (Print)
ISSN 2587-9251 (Online)