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SYSTEM DYNAMICS MODEL OF THE MORTGAGE LENDING MARKET IN RUSSIA

https://doi.org/10.21686/2413-2829-2016-1-112-121

Abstract

The article describes one of the currently existing schemes of mortgage crediting in Russia. Key components of the banking system in view of mortgage crediting were presented, their basic characteristics were displayed. On the basis of this scheme the article builds a system and dynamic model of the bank, which allows us to trace the dynamics of the mortgage market in recent years. Adverse consequences of economic sanctions and volatile nature of the national currency were analyzed. Principle risks typical of mortgage crediting within the period of economic crisis were evaluated. The author puts forward a scenario analysis of prospects of market development in the near future.

About the Author

Anna V. Nikolaeva
Plekhanov Russian University of Economics
Russian Federation

Post-Graduate Student of the Department for Mathematical Methods in Economics of the PRUE

36 Stremyanny Lane, Moscow, 117997, Russian Federation



References

1. Kartvelishvili V. M., Gavrilyuk V. I. Modelirovanie investitsionnoy dilemmy i rynochnyy fon [Modeling the Investment Dilemma and Market Background]. Initsiativy XXI veka, 2012, No. 4, pp. 72–74. (In Russ.).

2. Kartvelishvili V. M., Sokolova M. A. Model' vybora birzhi dlya provedeniya IPO [The Model of Choosing the Exchange for IPO]. Vestnik Rossiyskogo ekonomicheskogo universiteta imeni G. V. Plekhanova [Vestnik of the Plekhanov Russian University of Economics], 2012, No. 12 (54), pp. 81–88. (In Russ.).

3. Mints V. M. Modeli ipotechnogo kreditovaniya i perspektivy ikh primeneniya v Rossii [Models of Mortgage Crediting and Prospects of their Use in Russia]. Bankovskoe delo [Banking], 2002, No. 6, pp. 30–34. (In Russ.).

4. Rous P. S. Bankovskiy menedzhment [Bank Management], translated from English. Moscow, Delo, 1997. (In Russ.).


Review

For citations:


Nikolaeva A.V. SYSTEM DYNAMICS MODEL OF THE MORTGAGE LENDING MARKET IN RUSSIA. Vestnik of the Plekhanov Russian University of Economics. 2016;(1):112-121. (In Russ.) https://doi.org/10.21686/2413-2829-2016-1-112-121

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ISSN 2413-2829 (Print)
ISSN 2587-9251 (Online)