Dynamics of Population Savings in Russia and Foreign Countries: Estimation and Forecast
https://doi.org/10.21686/2413-2829-2024-2-182-201
Abstract
In conditions of geo-political instability in the Russian Federation the necessity to raise standard of living of the population became evident, thus it is needed to forecast dynamics of population savings, which is important for strategic decision-making on the federal level. In order to analyze and forecast the total volume of savings of the Russian population the authors worked out a system of factors that influence the object of forecasting. On the basis of factor analysis they elaborated scenario forecast of dynamics of savings of the population in the country and dynamics of consumer spending up to 2025, including basic, conservative and target variants of the forecast. The present research confirms the thesis of interaction between unstable economic situation and arising of barriers for savings, at the same time it demonstrates a number of current and future problems caused by economic uncertainty. The authors proposed steps aimed at elimination of negative trends in dynamics of population savings in Russia.
About the Authors
N. M. Yartseva
Russian Academy of Foreign Trade under the Russian Ministry of Economic Development
Russian Federation
Russian Federation
Nadezhda M. Yartseva, PhD, Assistant Professor, Professor, Нead of the Department for Finance and Monetary Relations
6А Highway Vorobevskoe, 119285, Moscow
N. V. Sedova
Plekhanov Russian University of Economics
Russian Federation
Russian Federation
Nadezhda V. Sedova, Doctor of Economics, Professor, Нead of the Department for Industrial Economics
36 Stremyanny Lane, Moscow, 109992
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Review
For citations:
Yartseva N.M., Sedova N.V. Dynamics of Population Savings in Russia and Foreign Countries: Estimation and Forecast. Vestnik of the Plekhanov Russian University of Economics. 2024;(2):182-201. (In Russ.) https://doi.org/10.21686/2413-2829-2024-2-182-201
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